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Members of Parliament from the Conservative party have been cautioned against utilizing the escalating turmoil surrounding the Rwanda Bill as an opportunity to make an irrational and malevolent move to replace Rishi Sunak as their leader.
Dubbed the “pasta plotters”, a small group of anti-Sunak MPs are said to have met at an Italian restaurant to plan “an Advent calendar of s***” for the Tory leader this month over the deportation issue.
The Independent spoke to a group of conservative members who believe that the bill proposed by Mr Sunak does not meet its intended purpose. This has further weakened Mr Sunak’s influence and some members are willing to vote against the prime minister in January.
On Monday, both sides of the disagreement will convene to discuss the crucial first vote on Tuesday. Robert Jenrick, a former immigration minister, added to the tension by accusing Mr Sunak of supporting a “feeble” bill that is insufficient in its purpose.
However, supporters of Mr Sunak argued that rejecting the bill on Tuesday would be illogical, and deemed the notion of attempting to initiate a new leadership election as foolish and counterproductive.
These advancements occurred as:
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Michael Gove stated that Mr. Sunak has no plans to call for an early election in order to resolve the current predicament.
- A source close to Kemi Badenoch denied she had discussed replacing the “captain of the ship”
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Suella Braverman insinuated that Mr. Sunak was being untruthful in stating that the agreement with Rwanda could potentially fall through.
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According to Professor Sir John Curtice, the Conservative party may only end up with 130 seats, which would be their poorest performance in an election.
Chairman of the “star chamber” legal review of the bill, Sir Bill Cash, stated that the results of the examination are highly anticipated by the hardline members of the European Research Group (ERG). He expressed concern that the proposed legislation may not be secure enough to allow for flights to Rwanda.
Mark Francois, the chair of ERG, stated that he had extended invitations to members of various groups such as the New Conservatives led by Danny Kruger and Miriam Cates, the Common Sense Group led by John Hayes who is an ally of Ms. Braverman, the Conservative Growth Group consisting of allies of Liz Truss, and the Northern Research Group consisting of MPs from red-wall areas to meet and discuss future plans over lunch on Monday.
Mr. Jenrick, who resigned as the immigration minister this week, stated that he would not support the legislation in parliament and may choose to abstain on Tuesday. He also mentioned to BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg that anyone who arrives in a small boat will make a legal claim.
The hardline individual also emphasized that a few symbolic flights would not be enough to appease the angry voters. However, Mr. Jenrick denied any interest in taking over as the Conservative party leader instead of Mr. Sunak.
Mr Gove, a cabinet minister, stated that the recent legislation in Rwanda is strong and resilient. However, during an interview on Sky News, he also acknowledged that the government will consider the opinions of Sir Bill and other dissenters.
Even though he claimed that the government would listen, Mr. Gove disagreed with Mr. Jenrick and dismissed his suggestion that anyone crossing on a small boat could challenge the law. He clarified, “That is incorrect,” in an interview with the BBC.
Mr Gove also insisted that Mr Sunak’s government is “not contemplating” holding an early general election if the Rwanda Bill is voted down. The levelling up secretary said: “No, we’re not contemplating that.”
Ms. Braverman supported Mr. Jenrick’s statement, adding that “each person who is sent on the first flight to Rwanda will file their own claim.”
She argued that the proposed legislation still allows for the possibility of the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg to issue injunctions. In an article for The Sunday Telegraph, Ms Braverman stated, “Under Rule 39, flights will be barred.”
Ms. Braverman criticized Mr. Sunak’s statement that a stricter bill would have jeopardized the deal with Rwanda, calling it “unusual.” She stated that she has had numerous conversations with the Rwandan government and they have never expressed any concerns about this.
Unnamed members of the Conservative party have informed The Mail on Sunday that they wish to remove Mr. Sunak from his position, with some expressing a desire to reinstate Boris Johnson as the leader.
A few members of Parliament who oppose Sunak, known as the “pasta plotters”, reportedly gathered at an Italian restaurant to strategize a series of negative events for the Prime Minister during the holiday season.
An MP from the red-wall region stated to the newspaper that regardless of one’s personal opinion of Mr. Johnson, his ability as a campaigner cannot be denied. However, with the absence of the former PM in parliament, the “pasta plotters” are reportedly unsure of who could take over for Mr. Sunak.
Damian Green, who leads the moderate faction of the party known as One Nation, issued a caution to any conservative rebels who may try to use the Rwanda situation as an opportunity to oust Mr Sunak.
“Anyone who thinks that what the Conservative Party or the country needs is a change of prime minister is either mad or malicious or both,” he told BBC host Laura Kuenssberg. Mr Green added: “It is a very, very small number doing that [plotting to oust Mr Sunak].”
The One Nation group, consisting of approximately 100 MPs, will convene at 7pm on Monday to discuss and make a decision. Members are still troubled by the proposal that government officials will declare Rwanda as a “safe” country in court.
A prominent member of the Conservative party, known for their right-wing views, has participated in the discussions of the “star chamber”. According to their statement to The Independent, the criticism of the bill, which is scheduled to be presented on Monday afternoon, will be forceful.
While No 10 is growing more certain that Mr Sunak will withstand the vote on Tuesday, a conservative member stated that there are rebels who are willing to vote against the bill in the beginning of 2024.
I believe that many people understand the value of waiting until the third reading. If the issue is not resolved, then we should not support a bill that does not fulfill its purpose.
They refuted the accusation of using the bill as a means to conspire against the PM, asserting that their challenge was not aimed at Mr Sunak’s leadership.
The Labour party will instruct its Members of Parliament to vote against the bill, making it possible for a defeat with the support of only 29 rebel Tories. In an interview with The Independent, senior Tory David Davis stated that it would be foolish for the rebels to vote against the bill, as it already covers all necessary measures.
However, the ex-cabinet member stated that he did not believe 29 Members of Parliament would oppose Mr. Sunak during the crucial third reading.
According to Mr. Davis, a few Members of Parliament are plotting against Mr. Sunak. He believes this is foolish, as it is clear that some are using this situation to weaken the Prime Minister. He has spoken to individuals who may not have a favorable opinion of Rishi Sunak, but still believe it would be unwise to replace him.
According to reports, David Cameron, the foreign secretary, has been assisting No 10 in convincing Tory rebels to support the bill.
The prime minister has faced backlash for being inactive and disconnected since the Supreme Court ruled against the Rwanda plan several weeks ago, giving others like Ms Braverman more influence. According to one cabinet minister interviewed by The Sunday Times, the prime minister is not skilled at politics.
According to sources, the business secretary Ms Badenoch, who is seen as a potential frontrunner in a future leadership competition, allegedly asked her colleagues, “The ship is heading towards the rocks. What shall we do about the captain?” However, a source close to Ms Badenoch vehemently refuted this claim, stating that it is false.
According to election specialist Professor Curtice, it would be an stroke of luck for the Conservative party to secure 200 seats in the upcoming general election. In fact, they may only end up with 130 seats, which would be their worst defeat ever. The professor also cautioned that the controversy surrounding Rwanda could further harm their chances, and urged Tory MPs to be aware of the potential consequences of their actions.
The source is independent.co.uk.